Testing whether anybody will pay

One page, a real price, and one way to say yes. The answer arrives in a week.

The cheapest way to find out whether something is worth building is a page that describes it and asks for money.

A one-page offer with what it does, who it is for, the price and one response.
A one-page offer with what it does, who it is for, the price and one response.

What the page contains

What it does. One sentence, concrete. Not a category, not a vision.

Who it is for. Specific enough that the right person recognises themselves and the wrong one does not respond.

What it costs. A real number.

One way to respond. A payment, a deposit, or a single field.

That is one screen. Everything else you want to add is delaying the answer.

Signal Means
Somebody pays Real
A deposit Real
A specific message about their situation Nearly real
An email sign-up Weak
"Great idea" Nothing
Social approval Nothing

The price is what makes it a test

A page with no price measures curiosity.

Everybody says yes to something free and hypothetical. Put a number on it and the responses separate into people who have a problem and people who were being pleasant.

If a real price makes you uncomfortable, that discomfort is the test working. Put it there anyway.

Say it is not built

Plainly, on the page. In development, expected in March, taking deposits.

That is honest and it costs you almost nothing, because somebody with the problem will still respond. Somebody who will not wait was never going to be an early customer.

Take a deposit rather than full payment, and say you will refund it if the date slips and they would rather not wait. That is fair and it does not reduce the signal.

Responses sorted into real signals and noise.
Responses sorted into real signals and noise.

What is not a signal

Encouragement from people who know you. Approval on social platforms. Sign-ups on a list with no price attached.

All of it feels like progress and none of it predicts revenue. People are generous with agreement and careful with money, which is why the money is the measurement.

Count two things: payments, and messages describing a specific situation in detail. A long message about somebody's actual problem is close to a payment, because they have spent effort.

If nobody responds

That is the result, and it arrived in a week.

The alternative was six months of building followed by the same silence. Change the page, change the audience, change the price, or change the idea, all of which are cheap now.

A page that fails is the cheapest thing you will build.

Two neighbouring cases are worth a look: How to make a product landing page and How to make an email capture page.

Put it at an address

Write one page rather than a product, put a real price on it, say plainly it is not built yet, offer one way to respond, and count only payments and specific messages.

Questions people ask

What should the page say?

What the thing does, who it is for, what it costs, and one way to respond. Four things, one screen.

Should I show a price before it exists?

Yes. Interest without a price is not a signal. The moment a number appears, the responses mean something.

Is it dishonest to sell something unbuilt?

Not if you say so. Say it is in development, give a date, and take a deposit or a waiting list place rather than full payment.

What counts as a real signal?

Somebody paying, or somebody writing a specific message about their situation. Sign-ups and encouragement are not signals.

What if nobody responds?

That is the answer arriving in a week rather than after six months of building, which is the entire point.

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